Here at 538, we think a big part of our jobs during election season is to explore and explain how much trust you should put in all the people telling you who's going to win. More than anyone else, ...

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season was a nail-biter to the end, keeping seasonal hurricane forecasters on the edge of their seats this past hurricane season. So how did they do in ...

Four of the nation’s most accurate 2024 election pollsters have formed an independent group to produce “the very best” data and challenge the bias in competing surveys, many run by the media and ...

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump and former first lady Melania Trump at an election night watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center, Nov. 6, 2024, in West Palm Beach ...